Publications

Articles

• Mantas Radzvilas, William Peden, and Francesco De Pretis. (2023). The Ambiguity Dilemma for Imprecise Bayesians, The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, accepted.
• Mantas Radzvilas, William Peden, and Francesco De Pretis. (2023). Making decisions with evidential probability and objective Bayesian calibration inductive logics, International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, accepted. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijar.2023.109030, opens an external URL in a new window
• Darrell P. Rowbottom, André Curtis-Trudel & William Peden. (2023). Evidence, computation and AI: why evidence is not just in the head, Asian Journal of Philosophy, 2(1), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1007/s44204-023-00061-7, opens an external URL in a new window
• Mantas Radzvilas, Francesco De Pretis, William Peden, Daniele Tortoli & Barbara Osimani. (2023). Incentives for Research Effort: An Evolutionary Model of Publication Markets with Double-Blind and Open Review, Computational Economics, 61, 1433–1476. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-022-10250-w, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2022). Probability and Statistics in the Tinbergen-Keynes Debates. Erasmus Journal for Philosophy and Economics, 15(2). https://doi.org/10.23941/ejpe.v15i2.710, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2022). Explanatory reasoning in the material theory of induction. Metascience, 31, 303–309. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11016-022-00784-y, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2022). The Material Theory of Induction at the Frontiers of Science. Episteme, 19(2), 247–263.  https://doi.org/10.1017/epi.2020.22 , opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2021). Does the Dome Defeat the Material Theory of Induction? Erkenntnis, 88(5) 2171–2190. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10670-021-00448-z, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2021). A Battle in the Statistics Wars: a simulation-based comparison of Bayesian, Frequentist and Williamsonian methodologies. Synthese, 199(5-6) 13689–13748. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-021-03395-y, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2021). Evidentialism, Inertia, and Imprecise Probability. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, accepted.  https://doi.org/10.1086/716839, opens an external URL in a new window
• Francesco De Pretis, Jürgen Landes, and William Peden (2021). Artificial intelligence methods for a Bayesian epistemology-powered evidence evaluation. Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice, 27(3), 504–512. https://doi.org/10.1111/jep.13542, opens an external URL in a new window [Top Cited Article Prize, 2021-2022]
• William Peden (2021). Probability and Arguments: Keynes's Legacy. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 27(3), 933–950. https://doi.org/10.1093/cje/beab021, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2020). What Can Armstrongian Universals Do for Induction? Philosophia, 49(3), 1145–1161. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11406-020-00285-4, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2020). The Bayesian Era in the Philosophy of Science. Studies in the History and Philosophy of Science Part A, 80, 123–127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsa.2020.01.006, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2020). A Conciliatory Answer to the Paradox of the Ravens. Journal of General Philosophy of Science / Zeitschrift für Allgemeine Wissenschaftstheorie, 51(1), 45–64. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10838-019-09485-3, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2019). The Selective Confirmation Answer to the Paradox of the Ravens. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science, 32(3-4), 177–193. https://doi.org/10.1080/02698595.2020.1768014, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2019). Direct Inference in the Material Theory of Induction. Philosophy of Science, 86(4), 177–193. https://doi.org/10.1080/02698595.2020.1768014, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2018). Imprecise Probability and the Measurement of Keynes's "Weight of Arguments". IfCoLog Journal of Logics and Their Applications 5(4): 677–708. https://www.collegepublications.co.uk/ifcolog/?00023, opens an external URL in a new window

Book Reviews

• William Peden (2023). The Material Theory of Induction, by John Norton BJPS Review of Books, https://www.thebsps.org/reviewofbooks/peden-on-norton/, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2020). Introduction to Formal Philosophy, edited by Sven Ove Hansson, Vincent F. Hendricks, Esther Michelsen Kjeldahl. Teaching Philosophy, 43(2), 215–218. https://doi.org/10.5840/teachphil2020432126, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2020). Decision Theory with a Human Face, by Richard Bradley. Philosophy in Review, 40(1), 4–6. https://doi.org/10.7202/1068147ar , opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2019). Speculation Within and About Science, by Peter Achinstein. Metapsychology Online Reviews, 23(1). https://metapsychology.net/index.php/book-review/speculation/, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2019). Measuring Utility, by Ivan Moscati BJPS Review of Books, https://www.thebsps.org/reviewofbooks/pedenonmoscati/, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2019). Scientific imperialism: Exploring the boundaries of interdisciplinarity, by Uskali Mäki, Adrian Walsh and Manuela Fernández Pinto. Metascience, 27(3), 457–460. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11016-018-0317-z, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden (2019). Karl Popper, Science and Enlightenment, by Nicholas Maxwell. Metascience, 22(44), https://metapsychology.net/index.php/book-review/karl-popper-science-and-enlightenment/, opens an external URL in a new window

Public Philosophy

• 2021 Jan Tinbergen: Economist, Expert, Thinker, opens an external URL in a new window
• 2019 Report on the Bayes By the Sea Summer School and Conference, opens an external URL in a new window
• 2019 CHESS report on the Philosophy of Statistics workshop, opens an external URL in a new window
• 2019 CHESS report on Liya Palagashvili’s “African Chiefs: Comparative Governance under Colonial Rule”, opens an external URL in a new window

Book Chapters

• William Peden. (2022). Prisoners of Prophecy: Freedom and Foreknowledge in the Dune Series, in: K. S. Decker (ed.), Dune and Philosophy: Minds, Monads, and Muad’Dib (pp. 144-152), Wiley, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119841425, opens an external URL in a new window
• Francesco De Pretis, William Peden, Jürgen Landes, and Barbara Osimani. (2022). Pharmacovigilance as Personalized Medicine: Philosophical Perspectives from Biology to Healthcare, in: C. Beneduce & M. Bertolaso (eds.), Personalized Medicine in the Making (pp. 147-171), Springer, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-74804-3, opens an external URL in a new window
• William Peden and Jan Sprenger. (2021). Statistical Significance Testing in Economics, in: C. Heilmann and J. Reiss (eds.), The Routledge Handbook of the Philosophy of Economics (pp. 147-171), Routledge, https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315739793, opens an external URL in a new window